Public & Government Affairs

2024 UK General Election: The Results – ‘Need to Know’ Morning Update

The results – as it stands

08:30, Friday 5th July 2024

The topline

  • With almost all the results declared, the Labour Party has secured a historic landslide victory.
  • Labour leader Keir Starmer will today become the 58th Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
  • Labour’s parliamentary majority is set to be on par with the famous victory secured by Tony Blair in 1997 at around 170, but won on a significantly smaller share of the national vote.
  • Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has conceded the election and in a short speech called the result a “sobering verdict”, taking “responsibility” for his party’s defeat. A number of senior Conservative ministers have lost their seats overnight as 14 years of Conservative Party government comes to an end.
  • A key narrative of the election will be the performance of many of the UK’s smaller parties, including Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens who have each made significant gains.
  • In Scotland, the SNP has suffered a dramatic reversal in their fortunes, losing a significant number of their seats to a resurgent Labour Party.
  • In Wales, Plaid Cymru have successfully captured both of their two target seats, whilst the Conservatives have been totally wiped out.
  • In Northern Ireland, in an historic result, Sinn Fein have matched their control of Stormont with a leading result as now the largest Northern Irish party at Westminster on 7 seats.

Voter turnout: 60%

House of Commons Seats (644/650 declared) (326 seats needed for a majority) 

National Vote Share

Headlines

Labour

  • The Labour Party has secured a historic victory and is set to form the next government. In a speech hailing Labour’s landslide victory, Keir Starmer declared that “change begins now” and added that as a result of his Party’s new majority, the UK is once again experiencing the “sunlight of hope.” (Sky News)
  • As constituency results were still being announced, Labour reached the 326 seats mark at 04:50 in the morning, definitively confirming their Commons majority and election victory after a night of once safe-Conservative seats turning Red. (ITV News)
  • Media coverage this morning is already covering the statistics behind Labour’s victory, with Labour set to win a resounding number of Commons seats, despite not significantly boosting their national vote share. (The Telegraph)
  • Former Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn secured his own re-election, running as an independent candidate in Islington North after his expulsion from the Labour Party (The Guardian)
  • Labour’s Shadow Culture Secretary Thangam Debonnaire was defeated by the Greens in Bristol Central, while Shadow Paymaster General, Jonathan Ashworth lost his seat in Leicester South East to an independent candidate. (ITV News)

Conservatives

  • Speaking shortly following his own re-election in Richmond and Northallerton, Rishi Sunak conceded the election and told the media that he had called Keir Starmer to congratulate him on Labour’s victory. Sunak called the outcome a “sobering verdict” on his party, the worst result for the Conservatives in a general election in modern times. Sunak also said “sorry” to “the many good, hard-working Conservative candidates who lost.”  (BBC News)
  • A significant number of senior Conservatives have lost their seats, including former Prime Minister Liz Truss and current or former cabinet ministers including Penny Mordaunt, Grant Shapps, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Simon Hart, Gillian Keegan, Douglas Ross, Liam Fox, Alex Chalk, Jonathan Gullis, Jonny Mercer and Lucy Frazer. (ITV News)
  • The future direction of the Conservatives following this defeat will now quickly come under scrutiny, with various Party factions already weighing in on the causes for the defeat. A contest to replace Rishi Sunak as leader is likely to begin in earnest. Speaking to the media, former Home Secretary, Suella Braverman said that the Conservatives “didn’t listen” to the British people and had “let you down.” (The Telegraph)

Reform UK

  • One of the key stories of the night was the impact of Reform UK, with the party making significant inroads in both votes and seats gained, primarily at the cost of the Conservatives. In a dramatic uptick in the Party’s level of support, in addition to the seats secured, by the end of counting the Party is likely to have placed second in large number of seats. (Reuters)
  • Riding Reform’s success, at the eighth attempt, Reform UK’s leader, Nigel Farage has been elected to Parliament for the constituency of Clacton. In his victory speech, Farage said that Reform is “coming for Labour” and that he wants to fill a “massive gap on the centre-right of British politics”. Farage said that “This Labour government will be in trouble very, very quickly and we will now be targeting Labour votes. We’re coming for Labour, be in no doubt about that. Believe me folks, this is just the first step of something that is going to stun all of you.” (The Independent)
  • In a night of success for Reform, the Party also saw their former leader, Richard Tice win in Boston and Skegness, and their first ever MP, (former Conservative Party Deputy Chair), Lee Anderson re-elected in Ashfield. (Sky News)

Liberal Democrats

  • The Liberal Democrats are hailing what they are calling “their best set of results in a century” as the Party secured a significant increase in seats and reclaimed their status as the third largest party in the House of Commons, a significant pre-election goal. Returning to Westminster with a record number of MPs, boosted by tactical voting against the Conservatives in the so-called ‘Blue Wall’, overnight the Party caused the defeats of a number of senior Conservatives, however they failed to unseat Chancellor Jeremy Hunt in Godalming and Ash. (Financial Times)
  • Speaking last night, the Party’s leader, Ed Davey, hailed the “exceptional” results and said that during a campaign which included a number of media stunts, his party had “put voters’ concerns at the heart of our campaign”, adding that he had “rather enjoyed” the six-week run-up to the election. (Sky News)

Scottish National Party

  • In a dramatic reversal of fortunes, the SNP have endured a significant set back overnight, losing a swath of their Commons seats in Scotland to the Labour Party, enduring their worst result at a UK General Election since 2010. Speaking overnight, the SNP’s Leader in Westminster, Stephen Flynn said that “we are going to be beat in Scotland, we are going to be beat well. Now is the time when we must learn and we must listen. We must listen to what the people of Scotland tell us.” (Financial Times)
  • Media reports this morning are commenting on the surprise at the scale of the SNP’s defeats and the implications that a resurgent Scottish Labour Party may now have for the next set of Scottish Parliamentary election in Holyrood, scheduled to take place in 2026. (BBC News)

Green Party

  • The Green Party performed above expectations and secured a record number of seats, quadrupling their presence in the House of Commons to four constituencies. Both of their Co-Leaders, Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay secured a seat, whilst Siân Berry has held Brighton Pavilion for the Party. A key headline from the results is that Denyer’s victory in Bristol Central has come at the expense of Labour’s Shadow Culture Secretary, Thangam Debbonaire. (The Guardian)

Plaid Cymru

  • The Leader of Plaid Cymru, Rhun ap Iorwerth, has celebrated what he called “terrific results” for his Party overnight, with Plaid winning both its target seats of Ynys Môn and Caerfyrddin, securing four in total. ap Iorwerth said that “We’ve had some pretty important and dramatic gains and it gives me confidence looking towards the Senedd elections in 2026.” (BBC News)

What happens next?

  • Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will deliver a farewell address as he leaves Downing Street for the last time before formally tendering his resignation to His Majesty The King.
  • For Keir Starmer and Labour, the work of government is about to begin. Later today, after Sunak has departed, he will travel to Buckingham Palace where The King will invite him to form a new government.
  • Starmer will then proceed to Downing Street to deliver a speech outside the door of Number 10 before he is greeted inside by the Cabinet Secretary.
  • Starmer will then begin to discharge his first duties as Prime Minister, starting with the appointment of his new Cabinet, a process which is likely to begin as early as this afternoon.

Please note: This is our final daily morning note covering the UK’s election campaign. FTI Consulting’s UK Public Affairs team works with clients of all sizes, and in all sectors, to design and deliver bespoke programmes which strengthen reputation, protect and promote interests, and generate commercial and political capital. Our approach is underpinned by our unrivalled understanding of the public policy environment and thinking of senior decision-makers, combined with sector-specific expertise and experience in delivering integrated public affairs and communications strategies across international borders and party political lines. We offer our clients a unique advisory experience, drawing not only on the expertise of the core Public Affairs team but also FTI Consulting’s broader experience as one of the world’s largest, independent global business advisory firms.

If you would like to understand more about how we can help you, please get in touch at: [email protected].

Please join FTI Consulting on Thursday July 11th at 2pm BST/ 9am ET for a webinar to discuss the impact of the new UK Government on business, M&A and regulatory markets.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and not necessarily the views of FTI Consulting, its management, its subsidiaries, its affiliates, or its other professionals.

©2024 FTI Consulting, Inc. All rights reserved. www.fticonsulting.com

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