August 11, 2017
This week’s newsletter will delve into the recent Senate vote against repealing the Health Care Freedom Act and the polling data underlying the process that actually predicted this outcome. Please contact a member of the research team to discuss these findings further.
The latest Monmouth University Poll, conducted by telephone from July 13th through 16th among 800 US adults, points to the general population’s concern over the Health Care Freedom Act, also known as the “skinny repeal” bill, voted on last week in the Senate.
Three Republicans joined the 48 Democrat senators to defeat the “skinny” repeal thus striking a major setback for President Trump and Republicans. With a finite number of legislative weeks left in the year, Republicans may very well need to account for the potential of facing an electorate in 2018 having not delivered on passing a full repeal/replace of ObamaCare.
Further, a recent Economist/YouGov Poll among 1,500 US adults and fielded between July 23rd and 25th reveals that most only want to consider repealing the Affordable Care Act once viable replacements have been designed.
This data, which suggests US adults’ reluctance to repeal the Affordable Care Act now, without firm and comprehensive replacements in place, further predicted the outcome of the Health Care Freedom Act.
A recent survey by Pew Research Center among 2,500 U.S. adults conducted June 8th-18th, 2017 demonstrates what little ground either party has made in stating its respective case with Americans.
While the 2018 mid-term elections are still a political eternity away, there’s little debate that Democrats are better positioned – at least nationally – than are President Trump and Republicans at this point. Still, there’s nothing that can’t be addressed for Republicans from a major legislative achievement (e.g. repeal/replace, tax reform, etc.).
The RealClearPolitics average shows that Trump’s approval rating is at 38%, six points below his 44% average when he first took office.