May 10, 2017
“You have better healthcare than we do.”
– Comments from President Trump in remarks to Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull on Australia’s universal healthcare system
Last week, President Trump and the House passed the American Health Care Act in their second attempt to reform the Affordable Care Act. As this bill now heads to the Senate, many are curious about the implications of this bill. This week’s newsletter delves into the various opinions that Americans have with regards to health care reform and how this relates to our clients’ crucial reputational concerns. The newsletter also discusses the impact of Emmanuel Macron’s recent victory in the French elections and what we can expect to see there. Finally, the newsletter delves into the political situation of the country. The data presented below is intended to serve as a source of information on these topics and what to expect as these issues come to the forefront of the international debate. Please send us your quotes about the hot issues of the day and your opinion might be published in the next Research Newsletter!
Last week, the House voted in favor of the American Health Care Act which will now be voted upon in the Senate. As can be seen below, there are a variety of opinions surrounding health care reform and the best path forward for Americans.
According to a recent CBS poll, as Trump and Republicans in Congress are working through another attempt to pass health care reform, most Americans would prefer they move onto other issues. Still, this attempt to pass a new health care bill does find support among some, including the Republican’s base.
Most Americans would like the President and Congress to focus on issues other than healthcare. Still, there is some support for a new health care bill, particularly among Republicans, and most Americans think there are flaws in the current health care system. However, getting repeal/replace on ObamaCare passed is a critical step in selling and eventually passing the President’s tax reform plan as the plan is based on or assumes the tax burdens from ObamaCare to be removed.
A recent FiveThirtyEight / SurveyMonkey poll among 7,000 Americans reveals that, while a large majority (80%) of respondents who approve of the job Trump is doing also approve of the job he is doing on health care, support for what he is doing on health care is weakest among lower-income respondents.
A large portion (about 37%) of Trump’s base falls into the bottom three income brackets. With these individuals expressing lower support for Trump’s job on health care, Trump and Republicans are left in a precarious position where they risk marginalizing more than one-third of Trump’s supporters over health care plans. Trump will have to tread carefully as his health care bill leaves the House victorious and now heads to the Senate.
This past weekend, Emmanuel Macron, the 39 year-old independent centrist, won the French Presidential election with 66% of the vote. An article from The Telegraph explains that:
On any measure, French voters stated their overwhelming preference for Macron’s centrist campaign over Marine Le Pen’s National Front, 66% to 34%. However, the critical next step is next month’s legislative elections for the National Assembly and whether Macron can translate his presidential victory into a governing majority without the backing of a legitimate political party. France’s parties on both the left and right immediately called on their members to resist Macron’s government and force his hand in assembling his government by winning the majority in the lower house in the June national elections.
This section explores the general view that the nation has of President Trump and the direction of the country. The data below reflects the average of the data presented in a variety of publicly released polls, thereby controlling for partisan biases that can emerge in publicly released surveys.
The RealClearPolitics average shows a continuation of April’s trend away from early this year’s initial positive trend. Since late April, the general mood of Americans has seen a 1% increase in negativity.
The RealClearPolitics average shows that Trump’s approval rating is at 43%, up by 1% in average since the last Newsletter.