May 24, 2017
“I just fired the head of the FBI. He was crazy, a real nut job… I faced great pressure because of Russia. That’s taken off…”
– Quote comes from a document that summarized a meeting between Trump and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak in the Oval Office, one day after firing Former FBI Director James Comey.
Last week, several advancements in the Trump Administration occurred, including the firing of former FBI Director James Comey, the Robert Mueller special counsel appointment to investigate Russian ties, as well as continued steps on the Trump tax plan. With these developments in mind, many are curious about opinions and implications surrounding these issues.
This week’s newsletter delves into the various opinions that Americans have with regards to these issues and how this relates to our clients’ crucial reputational concerns. Finally, the newsletter delves into the political situation of the country. The data presented below is intended to serve as a source of information on these topics and what to expect as these issues come to the forefront of the national international arena. Please send us your quotes about the hot issues of the day and your opinion might be published in the next Research Newsletter!
The latest Economist/YouGov Poll among 1,500 U.S. adults conducted from May 13th to 16th indicates that Robert Mueller’s recent appointment to special counsel for the investigation into the ties between Trump’s campaign and Russian officials is supported by most Americans.
If nothing else, Mueller’s appointment as special counsel should quell what has been a constant drumbeat against President Trump, both self-inflicted and otherwise, over the last couple weeks. It should, theoretically, abate the selective and strategic leaking of information as well. Mueller takes over the FBI’s counterintelligence investigation on what Trump refers to as “that Russian thing” that’s been ongoing for almost a year. Subsequently, even a lightening fast conclusion from Mueller could still take months to complete.
Monmouth University released a poll among 1,002 adults in the U.S. (conducted from May 13-17) which revealed that Trump’s attitude toward Russia poses a national security threat to the U.S. Over the course of poll fieldwork, results shifted dramatically, going from 43% from Saturday to Monday who felt Trump’s approach to Russia poses a national security threat, to 52% who felt this way on Tuesday to Wednesday.
Again, Mueller’s appointment should bring some order for some amount of time to a situation that’s seen the White House having to put fires out; some of which they’ve set themselves. Ironically no one benefits more from Mueller’s appointment than the President. At the same time, no one has more at risk than the President as well, but what amounts to a “high risk, high reward” appointment had to be welcomed news, to some degree, by the White House.
According to the latest Economist/YouGov Poll among 1,500 U.S. adults, over one-quarter view Russia as an enemy to the United States. Due to recent news and the firing of Comey, 54% of Americans believe it is true that Russia hacked Democrats’ emails in order to increase the chance of Donald Trump winning the Presidential election.
Recent polls show mounting skepticism among American Adults, across party divides, towards Russia and the nation’s role in the November, 2016 Presidential election. Given this air of uncertainty, Americans were hopeful for an appointment of a special prosecutor to investigate ties between Trump’s campaign and Russian officials. It will be important for next steps in this investigation to be handled carefully and to deliver a verdict that relieves concerns.
A recent Quinnipiac University survey among 1,078 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points indicates that voters are weary of tax reform, particularly sensitive to the impact it may have on the national deficit.
With most, across party lines, weary of tax reform and the impact it may have on the national deficit, this issue will certainly result in a fierce debate as Trump progresses with his tax plan. Much of the tension in Congress stems from a fundamental goal of achieving tax reform vs. tax cuts and the President will need all the political capital he can muster to get this across the finish line and on his desk. All the while, the clock indicating the midterm elections is pounding out the minutes that not only the plan is implemented, but implemented in such time for Trump/GOPers to have something to illustrate to voters.
This section explores the general view that the nation has of President Trump and the direction of the country. The data below reflects the average of the data presented in a variety of publicly released polls, thereby controlling for partisan biases that can emerge in publicly released surveys.
The RealClearPolitics average shows a dip in the mood of the country. Since early May, those who believe the country is on the “wrong track” has increased 2%.
The RealClearPolitics average shows a sizeable dip in Trump’s approval rating, down by 3% since the last newsletter in early May.